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DemLady1233's Blog

2014-08-18 8:53:46 pm by DemLady1233 in category General
  Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People 59Eliezer_Yudkowsky04 April 2007 06:01PM Once upon a time I tried to tell my mother about the problem of expert calibration, saying:  "So when an expert says they're 99% confident, it only happens about 70% of the time."  Then there was a pause as, suddenly, I realized I was talking to my mother, and I hastily added: ...
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